Published December 5, 2009
Foresight , Vocation
Tags: Australia, Causal Layered Analysis, CLA, futures, futures studies, futurists, integral, Integral Futures, Japan, MSF, Richard Slaugther, Sohail Inayatullah, Strategic Foresight
In my MSF program, we review all sorts of different theories of society & societal. These theories have direct implication on our theories and visions of the future. There are many different approaches in the futurist discipline; there are basic/gestalt theories, systems thinking theories, and more semiotic approaches. My favorite approach by far combines the strength of each of the aforementioned theories into a meta-theory/framework model called Causal Layered Analysis, or CLA. Developed by Sohail Inayatullah, CLA looks at the future from four interdependent layers. Quoth Wikipedia:
Causal layered analysis consists of four levels: the litany, social causes, discourse/world-view and myth/metaphor.
- The first level is the litany – the official unquestioned view of reality.
- The second level is the social causation level, the systemic perspective. The data of the litany is explained and questioned at this level.
- The third level is the worldview/discourse. Deeper, unconsciously held ideological, worldview and discursive assumptions are unpacked at this level. The way in which different stakeholders construct the litany and system are also explored.
- The fourth level is the myth-metaphor, the unconscious emotive dimensions of the issue. The challenge is to conduct research that moves up and down these layers of analysis and thus is inclusive of different ways of knowing. Doing so allows for the creation of authentic alternative futures and integrated transformation. CLA begins and ends by questioning the future.
Fun stuff, eh? Most American futures studies programs focus exclusively on the Litany and – at most – systemic levels. The schools of foresight developed out of Hawaii, Australia, Europe and Japan focus more on epistemes and intuitive inner/spiritual futures – almost like a wisdom school. (In fact, that’s exactly what Prout College is – and I mean that as a high compliment.) The Regent MSF program – and KedgeForward Consulting – combine the best of Southern Hemisphere-meets-west, empirical and intuitive, into what we hope is an AQAL approach to truly integral futures. Taking all quadrants of human and nonhuman experience into account – inner and external worlds, personal and social. Kedge On!
Ahem. Back to CLA. You can get lost for hours on Dr. Inayatullah’s insightful website Metafuture. In fact, I highly recommend doing so.
Published March 13, 2008
Foresight , Leadership
Tags: Foresight, futures, futures studies, futurism, holograms, internet, journalism, MSF, NBC, Richard Branson, speculative futures, Strategic Foresight, telecommunications, Virgin, web 2.0
Continuing a series of “What If” futures incasting headlines for the world of 2043…
HeadSpace Virtual Commute adds Lunar Line
Top-Traded Immaterial Office Firm Now Lands on Moon
NEW DEL SOL—Virgin Milky Way avatar Richard Branson (III) announced a landmark deal with virtual holoconference provider Headspace today, a 3.5 year exclusive contract to extend their telecommute line to Virgin’s New Del Sol base on the expanding ‘dark side’ of the moon. This came as welcome news to the sagging HeadSpace, who, after their 2018 near-monopoly on virtual workspace solutions, has sagged behind upstart Virtual Kosmos these past twenty months. “They just couldn’t compete with virtual time uplinks,” an NBC Knowbot told us. “But one thing V.K. has never been able to do is transmit to the moon. That HeadSpace has been able to do this is—if you’ll excuse the pun—a Thoth-send.” [Continued, C.381]
Published March 10, 2008
Foresight , Leadership
Tags: Foresight, futures, futures studies, futurism, google, governance, Government, journalism, MSF, speculative futures, Strategic Foresight, web 2.0
Kicking off a week of “What If” futures incasting scenarios for the world of 25 years from now; the good, the bad, and the ugly…
Google Government Launches Today
EasyGov startup application one of many facets replacing outmoded bureaucracy
GENEVA—After passing unanimously in the UN Committees for Better Governance and Clean Tech last year, government.google.com initiated governance interfaces globally this morning at 12:01 GMT. “We are grateful for the trust engendered from the global community,” Google Chancellor David C. Drummond said via YouTube hololink today. “For years we have worked tirelessly to improve the processes of voting, emergency response, law enforcement, and legislation. Today, we are able to bundle all of these services and offer them, without cost, to governments and citizens everywhere.” The efficiency and technological boost was enabled by Google’s acquisition of the Coca-Cola company in 2014, quickly supplanting its trademark drink with Google Gulp, the neuron-organizing, protein-reading potable version of Google Desktop… [Continued, A.428]